Scenario one

Pervasive Protectionism

Regulatory fragmentation and increased protectionism

Our first scenario imagines a world in 2035 of increased polarisation in which US-China economic decoupling deepens significantly, global trade becomes fractious and uncertain, and the World Trade Organization (WTO) stops functioning. The context for the following scenario is real; the scenario itself is hypothetical.

The context

Trade through the ages

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The scenario

Pervasive Protectionism

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The business impact of rising protectionism

Starting the conversation

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The context

Trade through the ages

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The scenario

Pervasive Protectionism

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The business impact of rising protectionism

Starting the conversation

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Beyond the Horizon: Disputes Reimagined

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Executive summary

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The business impact of rising protectionism

Beyond the Horizon: Disputes Reimagined